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Experts assess the risks of a global recession due to Trump's tariffs


January, 06 2025
watermark Economic news

US President-elect Donald Trump's plans to impose increased import duties could trigger a global trade war, which in turn threatens a global recession. Economists warn about this, noting, however, that such a scenario is not yet considered the main one.

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The global economy continues to experience a slowdown in growth. According to the International Monetary Fund, while global GDP grew by 3.6% in 2022, this figure dropped to 3.3% in 2023, and only 3.2% is expected in 2024.


At the same time, Trump is actively promoting the idea of increasing import duties, especially in relation to China. Among his proposals are additional tariffs of 10% on Chinese goods, and earlier he announced the possibility of duties of 60-100%. In addition, Trump mentioned the imposition of 10% tariffs on imports from other countries and separate duties of 25% for Mexico and Canada.


Although such measures may increase tensions in global trade, experts emphasize that a global recession as a result of trade conflicts remains only one of the possible scenarios, but not the main one.


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Foreign exchange is highly speculative and complex in nature, and may not be suitable for all investors. Forex trading may result in a substantial gain or loss. Therefore, it is not advisable to invest money you cannot afford to lose. Before using the services offered by ForexMart, please acknowledge the risks associated with forex trading. Seek independent financial advice if necessary. Please note that neither past performance nor forecasts are reliable indicators of future results.